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Re: [Fot] To Consider Before you Race

To: "John H. Hasty" <jhasty@mhc-law.com>
Subject: Re: [Fot] To Consider Before you Race
From: J Wagner via Fot <fot@autox.team.net>
Date: Fri, 22 May 2020 15:30:35 -0700
Cc: FOT <fot@autox.team.net>
Delivered-to: mharc@autox.team.net
Delivered-to: fot@autox.team.net
References: <000901d6305e$2375f380$6a61da80$@klaenv.com> <3855EE48-552B-4FE7-91E6-C367FBA4C76F@gmail.com> <ECAB81A5-0CAA-4A9B-A3A0-AFDD82515205@mhc-law.com>
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In my humble opinion

> On May 22, 2020, at 1:23 PM, John H. Hasty <jhasty@mhc-law.com> wrote:
>=20
> IMHO?
>=20
> Sent from my iPhone
>=20
>> On May 22, 2020, at 4:22 PM, J Wagner via Fot <fot@autox.team.net> wrote:=

>>=20
>> =EF=BB=BF
>> I=E2=80=99m sorry Ken, IMHO, you=E2=80=99re way off base.
>>=20
>> =E2=80=9C....Covid is killing people in all age groups, no one should con=
sider themselves =E2=80=98low risk=E2=80=99.  This virus is like playing Rus=
sian Roulette with an automatic....=E2=80=9D
>>=20
>>=20
>> That describes the Covid-19 that the early models were describing, but th=
ose models were wrong and have been discredited.=20
>>=20
>> Yes, in fact, some people can consider themselves =E2=80=9Clow risk=E2=80=
=9D and no, it=E2=80=99s not like playing Russian Roulette at all.  And it=E2=
=80=99s certainly not like playing it with an automatic.
>>=20
>> If one is elderly, particularly those with underlying issues, sure, they s=
hould play it safe.  And anyone with an underlying issue should weigh the ri=
sks and watch out for themselves.  The rest need to get on with their lives.=
 =20
>>=20
>> The flu didn=E2=80=99t stop vintage racing.
>> =E2=80=9CIf people die at the current rate of 5.9% then....=E2=80=9D  =20=

>>=20
>> That =E2=80=9Ccurrent rate=E2=80=9D is not sustainable so your suppositio=
n is not based in reality.  The curve doesn=E2=80=99t just happen in a day w=
hen we cross a threshold, it happens slowly as we reach herd immunity. =20
>>=20
>> And weather is proving to be significant as the southern hemisphere faces=
 their fall and numbers are rising there.  We=E2=80=99re heading into our Su=
mmer!
>>=20
>>=20
>>=20
>> <image1.png>
>>=20
>> Let=E2=80=99s all take a reality pill here. =20
>>=20
>> <image1.png>
>>=20
>>=20
>> You said, =E2=80=9CWe are all big boys and girls and we get to make our o=
wn decisions.  I think this decision should be made on sound medical science=
 and fact, not what we would like to have happen. =E2=80=9C
>>=20
>> Yes.  So enough with the =E2=80=9Crussian roulette with an automatic=E2=80=
=9D analogies.   That=E2=80=99s gross hyperbole, not science.
>>=20
>> It=E2=80=99s a bad bug, but we go on with life, just as we always have wi=
th the various threats that face us every day.
>>=20
>> What=E2=80=99s the stats for race car drivers getting hurt or killed?   W=
hat=E2=80=99s the stats of sports fans being hit by lightening?  What=E2=80=99=
s the stats on dying from pneumonia?  Car accidents?  Going to an ATM late a=
t night?
>>=20
>> Yet we all get on with our lives.
>>=20
>> =E2=80=94Justin
>>=20
>>=20
>>=20
>>=20
>>=20
>>=20
>>=20
>>=20
>>=20
>>=20
>>=20
>> On May 22, 2020, at 10:26 AM, Kenneth Knight via Fot <fot@autox.team.net>=
 wrote:
>>=20
>>> The CDC just announced today that 35% of Covid cases are asymptomatic.  I=
t appears you can spread Covid 19 and not know you are sick.  What if you ar=
e one of those folks that then go home an give it to your family?
>>> =20
>>> As of today there 1.61 million cases in the US with deaths at 95,213 or a=
 death rate 5.9%.  Over this weekend we will pass 100,000 dead.
>>> =20
>>> Covid is killing people in all age groups, no one should consider themse=
lves =E2=80=98low risk=E2=80=99.  This virus is like playing Russian Roulett=
e with an automatic.
>>> =20
>>> It is clear that the US national strategy is to open up and either get a=
 vaccine in 18-24 months or achieve =E2=80=9CHerd Immunity=E2=80=9D which re=
quires some 60-70% of the population to have lived through being sick in ord=
er to develop antibodies against the virus.
>>> =20
>>> The numbers needed to get to Herd Immunity roughly require 200,000,000 A=
mericans to have had the virus.
>>> =20
>>> If people die at the current rate of 5.9% then some =C2=B111,000,000 peo=
ple would perish in getting to Herd Immunity.  Even if better treatments and=
 the demise of very high risk people cut the death rate to just 1%, we would=
 see some 2,000,000 people die of Covid.
>>> =20
>>> Someone once said that if wishing were so, pigs could fly.  You can cros=
s your fingers this going to get better in June in the Midwest but all the i=
ndications are quite the opposite.  We opened the country in mid May to vary=
ing degrees (not right or wrong, just fact) and infection rate numbers and d=
eath rates are likely to significantly rise in June.  It takes a couple of w=
eeks before people start showing up sick at their locale hospitals.
>>> =20
>>> We are all big boys and girls and we get to make our own decisions.  I t=
hink this decision should be made on sound medical science and fact, not wha=
t we would like to have happen.   I have a couple of good doctor friends, un=
til they are willing to go back racing after what they are seeing in their h=
ospitals, I will not return to the track as much as I want to.  I wish all t=
he very best of luck.
>>> =20
>>> Ken
>>> _______________________________________________
>>> fot@autox.team.net
>>>=20
>>> http://www.fot-racing.com
>>>=20
>>> Donate: http://www.team.net/donate.html
>>> Archive: http://autox.team.net/archive http://www.team.net/pipermail/fot=

>>> Unsubscribe/Manage: http://autox.team.net/mailman/options/fot/4msonset@g=
mail.com
>>>=20
>>>=20
>> _______________________________________________
>> fot@autox.team.net
>>=20
>> http://www.fot-racing.com
>>=20
>> Donate: http://www.team.net/donate.html
>> Archive: http://autox.team.net/archive http://www.team.net/pipermail/fot
>> Unsubscribe/Manage: http://autox.team.net/mailman/options/fot/jhasty@mhc-=
law.com
>>=20
>>=20

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<html><head><meta http-equiv=3D"content-type" content=3D"text/html; charset=3D=
utf-8"></head><body dir=3D"auto"><div dir=3D"ltr"></div><div dir=3D"ltr">In m=
y humble opinion</div><div dir=3D"ltr"><br>On May 22, 2020, at 1:23 PM, John=
 H. Hasty &lt;<a href=3D"mailto:jhasty@mhc-law.com";>jhasty@mhc-law.com</a>&g=
t; wrote:<br><br></div><blockquote type=3D"cite"><div dir=3D"ltr">

<meta http-equiv=3D"Content-Type" content=3D"text/html; charset=3Dutf-8">


IMHO?<br>
<br>
<div dir=3D"ltr">Sent from my iPhone</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
<blockquote type=3D"cite">On May 22, 2020, at 4:22 PM, J Wagner via Fot &lt;=
<a href=3D"mailto:fot@autox.team.net";>fot@autox.team.net</a>&gt; wrote:<br>
<br>
</blockquote>
</div>
<blockquote type=3D"cite">
<div dir=3D"ltr">=EF=BB=BF
<div dir=3D"ltr"><span></span></div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">
<div dir=3D"ltr"></div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">I=E2=80=99m sorry Ken, IMHO, you=E2=80=99re way off base.</=
div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">
<p class=3D"p1"><span class=3D"s1" style=3D"background-color: rgba(255, 255,=
 255, 0);">=E2=80=9C....Covid is killing people in all age groups, no one sh=
ould consider themselves =E2=80=98low risk=E2=80=99.&nbsp; This virus is lik=
e playing Russian Roulette with an automatic....=E2=80=9D</span></p>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">That describes the Covid-19 that the early models were desc=
ribing, but those models were wrong and have been discredited.&nbsp;</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">Yes, in fact, some people can consider themselves =E2=80=9C=
low risk=E2=80=9D and no, it=E2=80=99s not like playing Russian Roulette at a=
ll. &nbsp;And it=E2=80=99s certainly not like playing it with an automatic.<=
/div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">If one is elderly, particularly those with underlying issue=
s, sure, they should play it safe. &nbsp;And anyone with an underlying issue=
 should weigh the risks and watch out for themselves. &nbsp;The rest need to=
 get on with their lives. &nbsp;</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">The flu didn=E2=80=99t stop vintage racing.</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">
<p class=3D"p1"><span class=3D"s1" style=3D"background-color: rgba(255, 255,=
 255, 0);">=E2=80=9CIf people die at the current rate of 5.9% then....=E2=80=
=9D &nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class=3D"p1">That =E2=80=9Ccurrent rate=E2=80=9D is not sustainable so yo=
ur supposition is not based in reality. &nbsp;The curve doesn=E2=80=99t just=
 happen in a day when we cross a threshold, it happens slowly as we reach he=
rd immunity. &nbsp;</p>
<p class=3D"p1">And weather is proving to be significant as the southern hem=
isphere faces their fall and numbers are rising there. &nbsp;We=E2=80=99re h=
eading into our Summer!</p>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">
<div>&lt;image1.png&gt;</div>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><span style=3D"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">L=
et=E2=80=99s all take a reality pill here. &nbsp;</span></div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">
<div>&lt;image1.png&gt;</div>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">
<p class=3D"p1"><span class=3D"s1" style=3D"background-color: rgba(255, 255,=
 255, 0);"><br>
</span></p>
<p class=3D"p1"><span class=3D"s1" style=3D"background-color: rgba(255, 255,=
 255, 0);">You said,&nbsp;</span><span style=3D"background-color: rgba(255, 2=
55, 255, 0);">=E2=80=9CWe are all big boys and girls and we get to make our o=
wn decisions.&nbsp;
</span><span style=3D"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">I think thi=
s decision should be made on sound medical science and fact, not what we wou=
ld like to have happen. =E2=80=9C</span></p>
<p class=3D"p1">Yes. &nbsp;So enough with the =E2=80=9Crussian roulette with=
 an automatic=E2=80=9D analogies. &nbsp; That=E2=80=99s gross hyperbole, not=
 science.</p>
<p class=3D"p1">It=E2=80=99s a bad bug, but we go on with life, just as we a=
lways have with the various threats that face us every day.</p>
<p class=3D"p1">What=E2=80=99s the stats for race car drivers getting hurt o=
r killed? &nbsp; What=E2=80=99s the stats of sports fans being hit by lighte=
ning? &nbsp;What=E2=80=99s the stats on dying from pneumonia? &nbsp;Car acci=
dents? &nbsp;Going to an ATM late at night?</p>
<p class=3D"p1">Yet we all get on with our lives.</p>
<p class=3D"p1">=E2=80=94Justin</p>
<p class=3D"p1"><br>
</p>
<p class=3D"p1"><br>
</p>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br>
On May 22, 2020, at 10:26 AM, Kenneth Knight via Fot &lt;<a href=3D"mailto:f=
ot@autox.team.net">fot@autox.team.net</a>&gt; wrote:<br>
<br>
</div>
<blockquote type=3D"cite">
<div dir=3D"ltr">
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<div class=3D"WordSection1">
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">The CDC just announced today that 35% of Covid cases a=
re asymptomatic.&nbsp; It appears you can spread Covid 19 and not know you a=
re sick.&nbsp; What if you are one of those folks that then go home an give i=
t to your family?<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">As of today there 1.61 million cases in the US with d=
eaths at 95,213 or a death rate 5.9%.&nbsp; Over this weekend we will pass 1=
00,000 dead.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Covid is killing people in all age groups, no one sho=
uld consider themselves =E2=80=98low risk=E2=80=99.&nbsp; This virus is like=
 playing Russian Roulette with an automatic.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">It is clear that the US national strategy is to open u=
p and either get a vaccine in 18-24 months or achieve =E2=80=9CHerd Immunity=
=E2=80=9D which requires some 60-70% of the population to have lived through=
 being sick in order to develop antibodies against
 the virus.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">The numbers needed to get to Herd Immunity roughly re=
quire 200,000,000 Americans to have had the virus.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">If people die at the current rate of 5.9% then some =C2=
=B111,000,000 people would perish in getting to Herd Immunity.&nbsp; Even if=
 better treatments and the demise of very high risk people cut the death rat=
e to just 1%, we would see some 2,000,000
 people die of Covid.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Someone once said that if wishing were so, pigs could=
 fly.&nbsp; You can cross your fingers this going to get better in June in t=
he Midwest but all the indications are quite the opposite.&nbsp; We opened t=
he country in mid May to varying degrees
 (not right or wrong, just fact) and infection rate numbers and death rates a=
re likely to significantly rise in June.&nbsp; It takes a couple of weeks be=
fore people start showing up sick at their locale hospitals.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">We are all big boys and girls and we get to make our o=
wn decisions.&nbsp; I think this decision should be made on sound medical sc=
ience and fact, not what we would like to have happen. &nbsp;&nbsp;I have a c=
ouple of good doctor friends, until they are
 willing to go back racing after what they are seeing in their hospitals, I w=
ill not return to the track as much as I want to.&nbsp; I wish all the very b=
est of luck.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Ken<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
</div>
</blockquote>
<blockquote type=3D"cite">
<div dir=3D"ltr"><span>_______________________________________________</span=
><br>
<span><a href=3D"mailto:fot@autox.team.net";>fot@autox.team.net</a></span><br=
>
<span></span><br>
<span><a href=3D"http://www.fot-racing.com";>http://www.fot-racing.com</a></s=
pan><br>
<span></span><br>
<span>Donate: <a href=3D"http://www.team.net/donate.html";>http://www.team.ne=
t/donate.html</a></span><br>
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et/archive</a>
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fot</a></span><br>
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<span></span><br>
<span></span><br>
</div>
</blockquote>
</div>
<span>_______________________________________________</span><br>
<span><a href=3D"mailto:fot@autox.team.net";>fot@autox.team.net</a></span><br=
>
<span></span><br>
<span><a href=3D"http://www.fot-racing.com";>http://www.fot-racing.com</a></s=
pan><br>
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</div>
</blockquote>


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